Following up on my post last week about the scoring spike in Season 2, I got to thinking about sample sizes. Granted, anything I'm doing here in this fictional league involves really, really small sample sizes. But if I look at shots on goal instead of goals scored, at least I have an order of magnitude more data. How do the three seasons compare when I look at shots rather than goals? Is there a jump in shots on goal that might help explain the increase in scoring in Season 2?
- Season 1: 1595 total shots on goal (33.2 per team per game)
- Season 2: 1509 total shots on goal (31.43 per team per game)
- Season 3: 1491 total shots on goal (31.06 per team per game)
This data tells a different story! Rather than a ton of shots in Season 2, what we're seeing is a year-over-year decline in shots. I'll definitely keep an eye on that trend as we proceed to Season 4 and beyond. But with no increase in shots in Season 2, I remain convinced that the scoring spike was nothing more than good luck for McGee and Taylor -- and correspondingly bad luck for the poor goalies!
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